2 Comments

Nice report. Good to see your extrapolations in action. Even without those the daily reported losses given by Russia's MOD have now doubled those reported by Shoigu to over 50,000. If I recall correctly only 60,000 received the vaunted NATO training for this doomed offensive... not long now.

Expand full comment

Indeed. Shoigu's and the MoD totals for the offensive pretty much confirm Ukrainian losses are at least 60,000/month. So 6 months of NATO training were mostly destroyed within two months of actual combat, and the last of their NATO-trained reserves appear to be committed already.

Of course, people forget that the initial Ukrainian army they started with had NATO training for eight years, at least a couple battalions per year. So pick the lesson learned: it's either 1) NATO training sucks, or 2) training can't compensate for being the weaker military, or 3) both.

Expand full comment