7 Comments

I have little doubt US intends wider war, but AI has proven itself stupid yet again; yesterday's US war technology has little bearing on others' capabilities today. AI is just a computer program subject to generic program limitations. Eg, GIGO.

What defensive systems could US provide that they haven't already provided? Just yesterday, Ansar Allah's hypersonic* strike bypassed the iron dome. 20 defense missiles missed the target. One may have hit, but failed to destroy.

Ansar Allah also already chased out US Navy. So understaffed & decrepit they can no longer maintain minimal force requirements stated in their doctrine. Hmmm...maybe British navy could help! 😂 (Sometimes I crack myself up!)

* May not be true hypersonic with Russia's full, powerful maneuverability. But good enough, it seems.

No time to finish article. Insomnia is winding down. Did GPT AI consider Iran's ability to shut down Strait of Hormuz? Iran's new mutual defense agreement with Russia?

Back to bed now ...

Expand full comment

As I mentioned, I expected ChatGPT to provide "conventional" scenarios more than unconventional ones. That's all I wanted it to do, although it did mention a couple options I hadn't considered, such as an attempted blockade of Lebanon.

I mentioned shutting down the Straits and covered the US Navy's inability to do anything about it. And the defensive alliance really puts a crimp in any attack by the US or Israel on Iran - but even that won't stop them from trying it. Neocons just don't get it.

Expand full comment

."Neocons just don't get it."

Truer words never said. They are 1-trick ponies with no reverse gear. War, & if that doesn't work, more War.

Expand full comment

Using a software system to provide analysis is fraught with issues. I assume you assume ChatGBT is what it is: a tool to gradually take control of thinking and put it in the hands of the operators of the platform. It is not a neutral source of information. I believe it is unwise to assume you are smart enough to outsmart it and use it without being manipulated.

Expand full comment

I am aware of the limitations of AI - I did a Substack post on it and probably will do more. I also pointed out that the responses I expected to get were likely "conventional" - and that was the point. Nonetheless, the point of using ChatGPT in this case was to create a list of possibilities which anyone can expand on in analyzing the possibilities.

I'm also well aware that there is a former NSA Director on the board of OpenAI. The big AI companies will just be another way for the Deep State to manipulate the public - after all, Google and Facebook were both created with help from CIA front companies and they are the leaders (more or less), along with OpenAI, in the AI space.

However, as the cyberpunks say, "the street has its own uses for things." Locally run AI and more importantly locally trained AI is the future for the Resistance. AI is just another tool like a computer or a gun - and like those tools, it needs understanding.

Expand full comment

Well, AI certainly didn't come up with "remote detonating pagers in Lebanon" as a conflict scenario.

Proof that the human mind is still superior in terms of creativity and thinking. The more I read about AI, the more I am convinced that it is just probability-based and lacks any capacity to do actual analysis or what we would call "intelligence" in the animal kingdom, like a rabbit has.

Expand full comment

I just found this, and I wanted to thank the author for a very compelling argument that escalation and a wider war are coming, and that the hot military conflict will unfold in somewhat predictable manner based on forces, capacities, and methods available. Great read.

Expand full comment